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Dry Through The Weekend; Still Cold Today

| 6:08 am February 10, 2016

FRIGID MORNING: Here are some temperatures at daybreak across the great state of Alabama…

Black Creek (just northeast of Gadsden) 14
Millport 16
Russellville 16
Concord 17
Bessemer 18
Gadsden 18
Cullman 19
Valley Head 19
Centre 19
Haleyville 20
Jemison 20
Tuscaloosa 22
Anniston 22
Center Point 22
Lake View (Tuscaloosa County) 23
Birmingham Airport 24

THE DAY AHEAD: Our weather will be cold, dry, and breezy today with a good supply of sunshine; we project a high in the low 40s for most communities this afternoon. Some places north of Birmingham will stay in the 30s all day.

TOMORROW/FRIDAY: The weather stays dry; we are forecasting a partly sunny sky both days with a high in the mid 50s. A cold front will pass through Friday afternoon in dry fashion.

COLDER FOR THE WEEKEND: Another surge of cold air arrives Friday night, and Saturday will be sunny but cold with a high only around 40 degrees along with a chilly north wind. We will drop down into the low 20s early Sunday, followed by a high in the mid 40s Sunday afternoon. The air stays dry, and the sky will remain mostly sunny. But, clouds will increase Sunday night.

WINTER ISSUES EARLY MONDAY? The next wave will bring precipitation into Alabama Monday morning, and there is still a window for a “wintry mix” over the northern third of our state as the day begins. However, there is great uncertainty as you might expect five days in advance. The GFS remains bullish on the idea of a short term mix of sleet, freezing rain, and maybe a few snow flakes, but the ECMWF (European) model is slower, and has trended warmer, with just rain on Monday for our state.

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Just be aware of some potential for icy travel early Monday morning, otherwise the day looks cool and wet with periods of rain and a high in the 40s. We do note a cold air damming (CAD) pattern in place, and with colder air over North Georgia, that might open the door for some significant icing for parts of our neighboring state to the east. Check out the Weather Xtreme video for the maps, graphics, and more details.

REST OF NEXT WEEK: The upper air pattern begins to flip, and we should turn considerably warmer by mid to late week with afternoon highs rising into the 60s.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I have a weather program this morning at Duck Springs Elementary in Etowah County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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Snow Showers/Flurries End This Evening

| 3:03 pm February 9, 2016

COLD NIGHT AHEAD: The weather across Alabama today behaved as expected; the most numerous snow showers have been over the northeast counties, where a few spots have measured over one inch. Marshall, Jackson, DeKalb, and Cherokee Counties remain under a “winter weather advisory” due to the potential for slick/icy spots…

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There has been basically no impact from the snow flurries for places like Birmingham, Anniston, Gadsden, and Tuscaloosa, as expected. Flurries and snow showers will end this evening across the state as the sky becomes clear. We drop into the low 20s early tomorrow, some of the colder pockets could see upper teens.

TOMORROW THROUGH FRIDAY: Cold air stays in place tomorrow; despite sunshine in full supply the high will be only in the low 40s. Then, we begin to warm Thursday with a high between 55 and 58 degrees along with a partly sunny sky.

A cold front will pass through Friday; it will bring scattered clouds, but it looks like the air will be too dry for any rain. The high Friday will drop back to near 50 degrees.

THE ALABAMA WEEKEND: Another surge of colder air will arrive just in time for the weekend. Expect a sunny sky Saturday and Sunday, but highs will be only in the 40s. And, the coldest morning will come early Sunday; most communities will see a low between 20 and 23 degrees, with upper teens for colder valleys and protected areas.

WINTER MISCHIEF MONDAY? The next wave will bring precipitation into the state Monday morning, and thermal profiles will be close to supporting an initial mix of freezing rain, sleet, and maybe a few snow flakes over parts of North Alabama. Understand there is absolutely no way to resolve details on a system like this six days away… it could be just a cold rain, or we could have some type of winter weather impact for the Monday morning commute over the northern third of the state. Just understand this possibility is on the table, and we will fine tune the forecast in coming days. But, for now, we will mention a “wintry mix” Monday morning, followed by rain Monday afternoon with a high in the 40s. Check out the Weather Xtreme video for all the maps, graphics, and more details.

WARMER DAYS: A pattern change is in the cards, and it sure looks like we will enjoy warmer weather in the February 17-24 period with highs well up into the 60s; we might even touch 70 degrees one afternoon.

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WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40.

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I had a great time today speaking to the students at Appalachian School in Blount County… be watching for them on the Pepsi KIDCAM today at 5:00 on ABC 33/40 News! The next Weather Xtreme video will be posted here by 7:00 a.m. tomorrow…

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Winter Weather Advisory for Cherokee County

| 10:06 am February 9, 2016

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The NWS in Birmingham has issued a winter weather advisory for Cherokee County. It will remain in effect until 9 p.m.

Beverly Daniel from Cherokee County EMA reports there is a good dusting in most places on the mountain. Getting reports of heavier snow in the very northern part of the county north of Gaylesville. She also reports that County Road 48 going up the mountain from Al Hwy 273 is covered with snow.

There is quite a bit of snow upstream from Cherokee County as well that will be rotating through over the next couple of hours.

If you must travel across Cherokee County, please use extreme caution.

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Flakes are Flying!

| 9:07 am February 9, 2016

LATE REPORT at 9:12:
US-231 closed at Brindley Mountain in northeastern Morgan County. Traffic is a nightmare in that area.

The highway 231 bridge over the Tennessee River is closed according to EMA.

2016-02-09_09-04-21@MichaelSteeley

Flakes are flying across North and Central Alabama this morning. Our favorite flake @spann is getting greetings from far and wide. The one above is courtesy of @michaelsteeley in Pigeon Forge TN.

The image below is the Birmingham radar on the left, the Hytop radar in North Alabama on the right, showing the hydrometeor classification algorithm display, with lots of light snow flurries and showers showing up.

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Indeed, snow showers are affecting Central Alabama this morning, with reports of big, fluffy flakes from all sorts of places like Helena and Mountain Brook and Hoover and Pell City. There aren’t many of them, and certainly not enough to cause trouble for now. The heaviest concentrations are over southern Walker, southwestern Jefferson and northeastern Tuscaloosa Counties with another concentration over southern Blount and northeastern Jefferson Counties.

Pretty much if you are in Walker, Blount, Jefferson, eastern Tuscaloosa northern Shelby, St. Clair, Talladega, Calhoun and Clay Counties, you are probably seeing a few flakes.

No travel problems are being reported or are expected across Central Alabama.

To the north and northeast it is a different story. Winter weather advisories are in effect for Jackson and DeKalb Counties in Northeast Alabama, with hazardous conditions being reported there. The NWS Huntsville is holding off on issuing a winter weather advisory for other counties.

Jackson County: 2 inches of snow at Dutton. This image is courtesy of @ToddHu02.

Dutton AL @toddhu02

Ice is reported on the Hwy 35 bridge crossing the Tennessee River in Scottsboro. And highway 35 is snow covered going across the top of Sand Mountain. This image is coming out of Section on Hwy 35 (courtesy of @Sheri_Buckner).

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Madison County: bridges are covered in snow and beginning to ice. Some rural secondary roads are slushy. Schools are now closed there.

Morgan County: Jason Simpson relayed a report of 2 inches of snow on the ground in Lacey’s Springs.

DeKalb County: Highway 75 snow covered at Sylvania. Schools are closed and roads are hazardous. Here is an image from Fyffe via @JTijsma.

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Here is a pretty picture from Crossville in DeKalb County from Jason Holcombe.

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The snow shower machine should continue through midnight tonight. Interestingly, south of a line from Union to Brent to Thorsby to Dadeville, people are wondering what in the heck we are talking about. South of that line, skies are perfectly clear!

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Windy, Cold, Flurries

| 5:40 am February 9, 2016

AT DAYBREAK: Temperatures are below freezing generally from U.S. 278 (Hamilton to Cullman to Gadsden) north… with mid 30s for the I-20 corridor (Tuscaloosa to Birmingham to Anniston). Light, scattered snow flurries continue, but we have heard of no travel issues or impact so far.

THE DAY AHEAD: The NWS Huntsville is continuing a “winter weather advisory” for Jackson and DeKalb Counties in Northeast Alabama…

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The overall idea for today has not changed. We will maintain the chance of snow flurries and snow showers, and where heavier convective snow showers develop, there could be some light accumulation. And, the best chance of this is over high terrain of Northeast Alabama, especially above 1,200 feet.

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For most of you, any snow flakes today will be a no impact event, but we will need to keep an eye on possible slick spots over the northeast counties of the state through the morning.

The day will be cold and windy; most places from Birmingham north won’t get out of the 30s, and a strong west/northwest wind of 15-30 mph will keep the wind chill index at or below freezing.

TONIGHT: Winds will die down after midnight, and the sky becomes clear. Tomorrow morning will be the coldest morning of the week, with low 20s in most places, but colder communities could reach the upper teens.

TOMORROW/THURSDAY: These two days will be dry with a good supply of sunshine; the high tomorrow will be in the low 40s, but we rise into the 50s Thursday afternoon.

FRIDAY FRONT: A cold front will pass through the state Friday; it might squeeze out a few sprinkles during the morning hours, but the air will be very dry, and the chance of measurable rain for now looks very small. The GFS is printing a high of 53 for Birmingham Friday afternoon.

MORE COLD AIR FOR THE WEEKEND: A very cold, 1048 mb high will drop southward into the U.S., and we project cold and dry weather Saturday and Sunday with highs only in the 40s. Sunday morning will be very cold with a low close to 20 degrees… valleys and protected areas should see teens.

MONDAY: A wave will bring a chance of rain back to the state early next week. It is possible we could see a window for a little winter mischief early in the day, but the 00Z GFS and Euro runs are suggesting this will be a mostly rain event for our state, and we will lean that way in the forecast.

LONG RANGE: A flip to a positive AO (Arctic Oscillation) and NAO (North Atlantic Oscillation) sure bring credibility to the idea of a warmer pattern for the southern U.S. in 10-15 days. See the Weather Xtreme video for maps, graphics, and more details.

WEATHER BRAINS: Don’t forget you can listen to our weekly 90 minute netcast anytime on the web, or on iTunes. This is the show all about weather featuring many familiar voices, including our meteorologists here at ABC 33/40. Scroll down for the show notes on the new episode we recorded last night.

CONNECT: You can find me on all of the major social networks…

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I have a weather program this morning at Appalachian School in Blount County… look for the next Weather Xtreme video here by 4:00 this afternoon. Enjoy the day!

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